🗺️ As promised, attached are maps of Early Voting from Days 1 through 3 by County, and last partisan ballot pulled - or no ballot.

The alt text contains a CSV excerpt of the data contained in the maps.

Some thoughts and findings:

📐 If we apply the count of early voters without previous partisan primary preferences ("No Party") and multiply that count by the proportion of Biden vs. Trump in 2020, we end up effectively even at 80k votes for Republicans and 79k votes for Democrats.

Using the 2020 vote totals is a bit crude, but it lets us identify general directionality as to the impact of these "No Party" voters.

📍 The maps clearly show turnout in traditionally GOP counties in the northern suburbs, supporting the hypothesis that GOP early vote advocacy efforts are motivating those voters to vote early instead of at Election Day.

🔵 Among all active voters, 7.9% and 7.5% with Dem preferences in Dekalb and Fulton Counties (Dem strongholds) have voted.

🔴 Among all active voters, 7.4% and 9.2% with GOP preferences in Cherokee and Forsyth Counties (GOP strongholds).

All this goes to say - at least in early vote, this race is ridiculously even.

👀 Over the next few days, I'll be on the lookout for a turnout breakout by Dems or the GOP to see if there are clearer signals on directionality.

🗳️ Again, expect to see a massive revived GOTV effort starting next week and not letting up until Nov 5th.

#georgia
#elections
#election2024
#harris
#EarlyVote

County,DemCount
FULTON,56751
GWINNETT,24170
COBB,24835
DEKALB,37701
FORSYTH,3820
CHATHAM,9381
CHEROKEE,3352
HENRY,11790
CLAYTON,14970
HALL,2460
HOUSTON,4514
COWETA,2921
MUSCOGEE,7164
COLUMBIA,2661
FAYETTE,5179
PAULDING,2842
DOUGLAS,6895
LOWNDES,2356
WALTON,1342
GLYNN,1882
RICHMOND,6682
NEWTON,3748
CATOOSA,758
FLOYD,1467
BIBB,4032
BARROW,998
JACKSON,705
BARTOW,883
CARROLL,1402
BRYAN,838
EFFINGHAM,700
ROCKDALE,5197
SPALDING,1665
THOMAS,1148
CAMDEN,751
LIBERTY,2487
WHITFIELD,561
GORDON,395
BULLOCH,879
DAWSON,339
CLARKE,2657
TROUP,965
POLK,463
OCONEE,727
MURRAY,159
LUMPKIN,410
DOUGHERTY,2944
HARRIS,648
HABERSHAM,323
STEPHENS,263
WHITE,269
UNION,394
FANNIN,272
TIFT,611
COLQUITT,399
BALDWIN,1238
BUTTS,509
PEACH,945
WARE,637
GILMER,266
PICKENS,222
MONROE,635
LEE,562
JONES,599
WALKER,274
MADISON,332
HART,346
UPSON,545
WAYNE,359
PUTNAM,375
LAURENS,577
GREENE,499
DECATUR,736
BANKS,94
HARALSON,144
PIKE,174
FRANKLIN,115
TOWNS,234
COFFEE,415
MORGAN,468
PIERCE,108
GRADY,433
RABUN,262
LAMAR,376
SUMTER,711
CRISP,451
CHATTOOGA,184
COOK,254
BEN HILL,494
BRANTLEY,96
MERIWETHER,404
DADE,149
TOOMBS,245
BERRIEN,110
JASPER,159
LONG,293
MCDUFFIE,397
BURKE,535
OGLETHORPE,293
ELBERT,459
BROOKS,272
BLECKLEY,150
DODGE,212
CRAWFORD,273
MCINTOSH,348
SCREVEN,412
WORTH,275
EMANUEL,261
MITCHELL,416
WASHINGTON,869
HEARD,80
BACON,62
JEFF DAVIS,117
CHARLTON,117
TATTNALL,191
EVANS,130
CANDLER,144
APPLING,200
TAYLOR,189
PULASKI,142
TURNER,248
WILKES,335
MACON,464
EARLY,285
IRWIN,79
SEMINOLE,129
LANIER,101
County,DemCount FULTON,56751 GWINNETT,24170 COBB,24835 DEKALB,37701 FORSYTH,3820 CHATHAM,9381 CHEROKEE,3352 HENRY,11790 CLAYTON,14970 HALL,2460 HOUSTON,4514 COWETA,2921 MUSCOGEE,7164 COLUMBIA,2661 FAYETTE,5179 PAULDING,2842 DOUGLAS,6895 LOWNDES,2356 WALTON,1342 GLYNN,1882 RICHMOND,6682 NEWTON,3748 CATOOSA,758 FLOYD,1467 BIBB,4032 BARROW,998 JACKSON,705 BARTOW,883 CARROLL,1402 BRYAN,838 EFFINGHAM,700 ROCKDALE,5197 SPALDING,1665 THOMAS,1148 CAMDEN,751 LIBERTY,2487 WHITFIELD,561 GORDON,395 BULLOCH,879 DAWSON,339 CLARKE,2657 TROUP,965 POLK,463 OCONEE,727 MURRAY,159 LUMPKIN,410 DOUGHERTY,2944 HARRIS,648 HABERSHAM,323 STEPHENS,263 WHITE,269 UNION,394 FANNIN,272 TIFT,611 COLQUITT,399 BALDWIN,1238 BUTTS,509 PEACH,945 WARE,637 GILMER,266 PICKENS,222 MONROE,635 LEE,562 JONES,599 WALKER,274 MADISON,332 HART,346 UPSON,545 WAYNE,359 PUTNAM,375 LAURENS,577 GREENE,499 DECATUR,736 BANKS,94 HARALSON,144 PIKE,174 FRANKLIN,115 TOWNS,234 COFFEE,415 MORGAN,468 PIERCE,108 GRADY,433 RABUN,262 LAMAR,376 SUMTER,711 CRISP,451 CHATTOOGA,184 COOK,254 BEN HILL,494 BRANTLEY,96 MERIWETHER,404 DADE,149 TOOMBS,245 BERRIEN,110 JASPER,159 LONG,293 MCDUFFIE,397 BURKE,535 OGLETHORPE,293 ELBERT,459 BROOKS,272 BLECKLEY,150 DODGE,212 CRAWFORD,273 MCINTOSH,348 SCREVEN,412 WORTH,275 EMANUEL,261 MITCHELL,416 WASHINGTON,869 HEARD,80 BACON,62 JEFF DAVIS,117 CHARLTON,117 TATTNALL,191 EVANS,130 CANDLER,144 APPLING,200 TAYLOR,189 PULASKI,142 TURNER,248 WILKES,335 MACON,464 EARLY,285 IRWIN,79 SEMINOLE,129 LANIER,101
County,RepCount
FULTON,21008
GWINNETT,18964
COBB,21792
DEKALB,6616
FORSYTH,15103
CHATHAM,7399
CHEROKEE,14037
HENRY,6369
CLAYTON,1709
HALL,11872
HOUSTON,7158
COWETA,8373
MUSCOGEE,4090
COLUMBIA,6842
FAYETTE,6106
PAULDING,6333
DOUGLAS,3384
LOWNDES,3348
WALTON,5381
GLYNN,4825
RICHMOND,2218
NEWTON,2205
CATOOSA,4472
FLOYD,4700
BIBB,2110
BARROW,3729
JACKSON,4706
BARTOW,4268
CARROLL,3979
BRYAN,2617
EFFINGHAM,2908
ROCKDALE,1144
SPALDING,2890
THOMAS,2622
CAMDEN,2182
LIBERTY,993
WHITFIELD,3215
GORDON,2928
BULLOCH,2155
DAWSON,2802
CLARKE,1155
TROUP,2227
POLK,2753
OCONEE,3076
MURRAY,2481
LUMPKIN,2683
DOUGHERTY,803
HARRIS,2070
HABERSHAM,2878
STEPHENS,2026
WHITE,2514
UNION,2531
FANNIN,1918
TIFT,1711
COLQUITT,1528
BALDWIN,1897
BUTTS,1837
PEACH,1290
WARE,1260
GILMER,2066
PICKENS,1930
MONROE,2058
LEE,1630
JONES,1302
WALKER,1852
MADISON,1788
HART,1927
UPSON,1788
WAYNE,1737
PUTNAM,1615
LAURENS,1265
GREENE,1992
DECATUR,923
BANKS,1426
HARALSON,1751
PIKE,1636
FRANKLIN,1643
TOWNS,1687
COFFEE,1495
MORGAN,1783
PIERCE,1478
GRADY,1097
RABUN,1831
LAMAR,1171
SUMTER,758
CRISP,966
CHATTOOGA,1254
COOK,840
BEN HILL,913
BRANTLEY,1162
MERIWETHER,919
DADE,1103
TOOMBS,1068
BERRIEN,889
JASPER,798
LONG,459
MCDUFFIE,1023
BURKE,539
OGLETHORPE,866
ELBERT,840
BROOKS,395
BLECKLEY,900
DODGE,832
CRAWFORD,615
MCINTOSH,928
SCREVEN,572
WORTH,838
EMANUEL,707
MITCHELL,584
WASHINGTON,421
HEARD,621
BACON,839
JEFF DAVIS,494
CHARLTON,531
TATTNALL,627
EVANS,435
CANDLER,596
APPLING,836
TAYLOR,485
PULASKI,794
TURNER,531
County,RepCount FULTON,21008 GWINNETT,18964 COBB,21792 DEKALB,6616 FORSYTH,15103 CHATHAM,7399 CHEROKEE,14037 HENRY,6369 CLAYTON,1709 HALL,11872 HOUSTON,7158 COWETA,8373 MUSCOGEE,4090 COLUMBIA,6842 FAYETTE,6106 PAULDING,6333 DOUGLAS,3384 LOWNDES,3348 WALTON,5381 GLYNN,4825 RICHMOND,2218 NEWTON,2205 CATOOSA,4472 FLOYD,4700 BIBB,2110 BARROW,3729 JACKSON,4706 BARTOW,4268 CARROLL,3979 BRYAN,2617 EFFINGHAM,2908 ROCKDALE,1144 SPALDING,2890 THOMAS,2622 CAMDEN,2182 LIBERTY,993 WHITFIELD,3215 GORDON,2928 BULLOCH,2155 DAWSON,2802 CLARKE,1155 TROUP,2227 POLK,2753 OCONEE,3076 MURRAY,2481 LUMPKIN,2683 DOUGHERTY,803 HARRIS,2070 HABERSHAM,2878 STEPHENS,2026 WHITE,2514 UNION,2531 FANNIN,1918 TIFT,1711 COLQUITT,1528 BALDWIN,1897 BUTTS,1837 PEACH,1290 WARE,1260 GILMER,2066 PICKENS,1930 MONROE,2058 LEE,1630 JONES,1302 WALKER,1852 MADISON,1788 HART,1927 UPSON,1788 WAYNE,1737 PUTNAM,1615 LAURENS,1265 GREENE,1992 DECATUR,923 BANKS,1426 HARALSON,1751 PIKE,1636 FRANKLIN,1643 TOWNS,1687 COFFEE,1495 MORGAN,1783 PIERCE,1478 GRADY,1097 RABUN,1831 LAMAR,1171 SUMTER,758 CRISP,966 CHATTOOGA,1254 COOK,840 BEN HILL,913 BRANTLEY,1162 MERIWETHER,919 DADE,1103 TOOMBS,1068 BERRIEN,889 JASPER,798 LONG,459 MCDUFFIE,1023 BURKE,539 OGLETHORPE,866 ELBERT,840 BROOKS,395 BLECKLEY,900 DODGE,832 CRAWFORD,615 MCINTOSH,928 SCREVEN,572 WORTH,838 EMANUEL,707 MITCHELL,584 WASHINGTON,421 HEARD,621 BACON,839 JEFF DAVIS,494 CHARLTON,531 TATTNALL,627 EVANS,435 CANDLER,596 APPLING,836 TAYLOR,485 PULASKI,794 TURNER,531
County,NoPartisanCount
FULTON,20975
GWINNETT,13543
COBB,11529
DEKALB,9780
FORSYTH,5932
CHATHAM,4898
CHEROKEE,4528
HENRY,4438
CLAYTON,3701
HALL,3520
HOUSTON,3292
COWETA,3109
MUSCOGEE,2781
COLUMBIA,2685
FAYETTE,2457
PAULDING,2378
DOUGLAS,2313
LOWNDES,1818
WALTON,1637
GLYNN,1619
RICHMOND,1600
NEWTON,1518
CATOOSA,1475
FLOYD,1471
BIBB,1410
BARROW,1410
JACKSON,1402
BARTOW,1387
CARROLL,1316
BRYAN,1240
EFFINGHAM,1179
ROCKDALE,1147
SPALDING,975
THOMAS,924
CAMDEN,911
LIBERTY,891
WHITFIELD,883
GORDON,877
BULLOCH,775
DAWSON,739
CLARKE,738
TROUP,723
POLK,704
OCONEE,690
MURRAY,685
LUMPKIN,646
DOUGHERTY,636
HARRIS,618
HABERSHAM,611
STEPHENS,576
WHITE,568
UNION,556
FANNIN,550
TIFT,541
COLQUITT,537
BALDWIN,531
BUTTS,510
PEACH,498
WARE,491
GILMER,489
PICKENS,487
MONROE,487
LEE,487
JONES,477
WALKER,456
MADISON,451
HART,448
UPSON,433
WAYNE,432
PUTNAM,425
LAURENS,405
GREENE,391
DECATUR,387
BANKS,380
HARALSON,369
PIKE,354
FRANKLIN,339
TOWNS,327
COFFEE,324
MORGAN,324
PIERCE,320
GRADY,314
RABUN,313
LAMAR,309
SUMTER,297
CRISP,292
CHATTOOGA,287
COOK,281
BEN HILL,268
BRANTLEY,267
MERIWETHER,264
DADE,254
TOOMBS,252
BERRIEN,246
JASPER,244
LONG,243
MCDUFFIE,226
BURKE,216
OGLETHORPE,204
ELBERT,199
BROOKS,192
BLECKLEY,192
DODGE,192
CRAWFORD,190
MCINTOSH,168
SCREVEN,165
WORTH,164
EMANUEL,161
MITCHELL,157
WASHINGTON,151
HEARD,140
BACON,139
JEFF DAVIS,135
CHARLTON,134
TATTNALL,128
EVANS,127
CANDLER,116
APPLING,115
TAYLOR,110
PULASKI,105
TURNER,105
WILKES,101
MACON,99
EARLY,99
IRWIN,95
SEMINOLE,93
County,NoPartisanCount FULTON,20975 GWINNETT,13543 COBB,11529 DEKALB,9780 FORSYTH,5932 CHATHAM,4898 CHEROKEE,4528 HENRY,4438 CLAYTON,3701 HALL,3520 HOUSTON,3292 COWETA,3109 MUSCOGEE,2781 COLUMBIA,2685 FAYETTE,2457 PAULDING,2378 DOUGLAS,2313 LOWNDES,1818 WALTON,1637 GLYNN,1619 RICHMOND,1600 NEWTON,1518 CATOOSA,1475 FLOYD,1471 BIBB,1410 BARROW,1410 JACKSON,1402 BARTOW,1387 CARROLL,1316 BRYAN,1240 EFFINGHAM,1179 ROCKDALE,1147 SPALDING,975 THOMAS,924 CAMDEN,911 LIBERTY,891 WHITFIELD,883 GORDON,877 BULLOCH,775 DAWSON,739 CLARKE,738 TROUP,723 POLK,704 OCONEE,690 MURRAY,685 LUMPKIN,646 DOUGHERTY,636 HARRIS,618 HABERSHAM,611 STEPHENS,576 WHITE,568 UNION,556 FANNIN,550 TIFT,541 COLQUITT,537 BALDWIN,531 BUTTS,510 PEACH,498 WARE,491 GILMER,489 PICKENS,487 MONROE,487 LEE,487 JONES,477 WALKER,456 MADISON,451 HART,448 UPSON,433 WAYNE,432 PUTNAM,425 LAURENS,405 GREENE,391 DECATUR,387 BANKS,380 HARALSON,369 PIKE,354 FRANKLIN,339 TOWNS,327 COFFEE,324 MORGAN,324 PIERCE,320 GRADY,314 RABUN,313 LAMAR,309 SUMTER,297 CRISP,292 CHATTOOGA,287 COOK,281 BEN HILL,268 BRANTLEY,267 MERIWETHER,264 DADE,254 TOOMBS,252 BERRIEN,246 JASPER,244 LONG,243 MCDUFFIE,226 BURKE,216 OGLETHORPE,204 ELBERT,199 BROOKS,192 BLECKLEY,192 DODGE,192 CRAWFORD,190 MCINTOSH,168 SCREVEN,165 WORTH,164 EMANUEL,161 MITCHELL,157 WASHINGTON,151 HEARD,140 BACON,139 JEFF DAVIS,135 CHARLTON,134 TATTNALL,128 EVANS,127 CANDLER,116 APPLING,115 TAYLOR,110 PULASKI,105 TURNER,105 WILKES,101 MACON,99 EARLY,99 IRWIN,95 SEMINOLE,93
#politics #elections #Russia #propaganda #disinformation#InformationWarfare

'The practices alleged by the US Department of Justice (DOJ) closely match what my co-authors and I have identified in our new book...as having become standard practice in Russian attempts to influence international audiences.

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https://theconversation.com/five-disinformation-tactics-russia-is-using-to-try-to-influence-the-us-election-238379

#ElonMusk said he wanted #Grok to be unfiltered & “answer spicy questions that are rejected by most other #AI systems.”

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#disinformation#InternetManipulation#Security#SocialMedia#Moderation #regulation #law#ElectionInterference#FarRight